Market Outlook
September 11, 2017
Market Cues
Domestic Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
Indian markets are likely to open positive tracking global indices and SGX Nifty.
BSE Sensex
0.1
25
31,688
US markets had a mixed session as concerns due to hurricane Irma as well as a
Nifty
0.0
35
9,935
possible North Korean nuclear test made investors cautious. A report from the
Commerce Department showed that wholesale inventories rose by 0.6 percent in
Mid Cap
(0.4)
(69)
15,755
July against an expectation of an increase of 0.4 percent. The NYSE Arca Natural
Small Cap
(0.1)
(13)
16,325
Gas and the Philadelphia Oil Service Indices fell by 2.8 and 1.8 percent respectively
as crude oil prices fell by 1.6$ per barrel to $47.48 per barrel.
Bankex
0.0
9
27,491
UK stocks fell during Friday’s trade a continuation in the weak performance shown
Global Indices
Chg (%)
(Pts)
(Close)
during the week. Mining stocks showed weakness as Chinese export data acted as a
source of negative sentiment. Antofagasta, BHP Billiton and Anglo American
Dow Jones
0.1
113
21,798
dropped by 4.11, 3.77 and 3.36 percent respectively.
Nasdaq
(0.6)
(38)
6,360
Indian markets closed on Friday with a mixed session. Mid and small cap stocks
FTSE
(0.3)
(19)
7,378
moved slightly lower during the session on profit booking. The capital goods index
Nikkei
(0.6)
(122)
19,275
had a strong session and closed up 1.9 percent. The healthcare index closed down
0.9 percent.
Hang Seng
0.5
146
27,668
Shanghai Com
(0.0)
(0)
1
3,365
News Analysis
Biocon targets $1 bln in revenues by FY19
Advances / Declines
BSE
NSE
Detailed analysis is on Pg2
Advances
1,111
1,692
Declines
1,545
1,002
Investor’s Ready Reckoner
Unchanged
124
62
Key Domestic & Global Indicators
Stock Watch: Latest investment recommendations on 150+ stocks
Volumes (` Cr)
Refer Pg7 onwards
BSE
3,799
Top Picks
NSE
26,292
CMP
Target
Upside
Company
Sector
Rating
(`)
(`)
(%)
Blue Star
Capital Goods
Accumulate
792
807
1.8
#Net Inflows (` Cr)
Net
Mtd
Ytd
Dewan Housing FinanceFinancials
Accumulate
544
610
12.1
FII
(5(303)
(2(3,409)
4143,87
Mahindra Lifespace
Real Estate
Buy
445
522
17.4
MFs
8531
4,1,890
1470,77
Navkar Corporation
Others
Buy
198
265
33.9
KEI Industries
Capital Goods
Accumulate
275
290
5.3
More Top Picks on Pg5
Top Gainers
Price (`)
Chg (%)
Geshipm
418
7.4
Key Upcoming Events
Previous
Consensus
Jswenergy
72
7.3
Date
Region
Event Description
Reading
Expectations
Sreinfra
117
6.0
Sep 11, 2017 China
Consumer Price Index (YoY)
1.40
1.60
Exideind
220
5.9
Sep 11, 2017 India
Exports YoY%
3.94
Sep 12, 2017 UK
Jobless claims change
(4.20)
Igl
1,382
5.3
Sep 12, 2017 UK
CPI (YoY)
2.60
2.80
Sep 13, 2017 India
Industrial Production YoY
(0.10)
1.70
Top Losers
Price (`)
Chg (%)
More Events on Pg7
Dishtv
276
(4.2)
Icil
117
(4.1)
Network18
50
(3.7)
Bajfinance
1,893
(3.4)
M&M
1,295
(3.3)
#as on 08th Sep, 2017
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 11, 2017
News Analysis
Biocon targets $1 bln in revenues by FY19
Biocon is betting big on small molecules and generic formulations, biosimilars,
branded formulations and research services as it targets $1 billion revenue by the
next fiscal. The company has been chasing this target since 2011 and has
identified these verticals as its key focus areas. Biocon had posted a revenue of
`4,078.7cr in FY17.
To achieve the revenue target, the company expects meaningful near-term growth
in biosimilars that from emerging markets and by increasing their presence in post
developed markets.
Biocon expects that the growth drivers would be supplemented by addition of new
offerings such as products, services and partnerships to help the company achieve
its target of $1 billion revenues by FY19.
Economic and Political News
Domestic hotel industry room revenue to rise 11-13 per cent over the next 5
years: CARE
Trade deficit may narrow to $10.3 bln in Aug: Morgan Stanley
Forex reserves increase by $3.572 bln during the week, touches a record high
of $ 398.122 bln
Corporate News
SAIL posts 7 percent increase in sales at 5.5 mln tonnes in the first five months
of FY18
Amrutanjan Healthcare to expand direct distribution network from 2,40,000
outlets to 3,00,000 by the end of FY18
GMR Infrastructure to seek shareholders approval to raise up `2,500cr
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 11, 2017
Top Picks
Market Cap
CMP
Target
Upside
Company
Rationale
(` Cr)
(`)
(`)
(%)
Strong growth in domestic business due to its leadership
in acute therapeutic segment. Alkem expects to launch
Alkem Laboratories
21,370
1,787
2,161
20.9
more products in USA, which bodes for its international
business.
We expect the company would report strong profitability
Asian Granito
1,360
452
490
8.4
owing to better product mix, higher B2C sales and
amalgamation synergy.
Favorable outlook for the AC industry to augur well for
Cooling products business which is out pacing the
Blue Star
7,588
792
807
1.8
market growth. EMPPAC division's profitability to improve
once operating environment turns around.
With a focus on the low and medium income (LMI)
consumer segment, the company has increased its
Dewan Housing Finance
17,067
544
610
12.1
presence in tier-II & III cities where the growth
opportunity is immense.
Loan growth is likely to pick up after a sluggish FY17.
Karur Vysya Bank
9,034
150
160
7.0
Lower credit cost will help in strong bottom-line growth.
Increasing share of CASA will help in NIM improvement.
High order book execution in EPC segment, rising B2C
KEI Industries
2,143
275
290
5.3
sales and higher exports to boost the revenues and
profitability
Speedier execution and speedier sales, strong revenue
Mahindra Lifespace
2,281
445
522
17.4
visibility in short-to-long run, attractive valuations
Expected to benefit from the lower capex requirement
Music Broadcast
2,156
378
434
14.9
and 15 year long radio broadcast licensing.
Massive capacity expansion along with rail advantage at
Navkar Corporation
2,823
198
265
33.9
ICD as well CFS augurs well for the company
Strong brands and distribution network would boost
Siyaram Silk Mills
2,071
2,209
2,500
13.2
growth going ahead. Stock currently trades at an
inexpensive valuation.
Market leadership in Hindi news genre and no.
2
viewership ranking in English news genre, exit from the
TV Today Network
1,613
270
344
27.2
radio business, and anticipated growth in ad spends by
corporates to benefit the stock.
After GST, the company is expected to see higher
volumes along with improving product mix. The Gujarat
Maruti Suzuki
2,40,842
7,973
8,544
7.2
plant will also enable higher operating leverage which
will be margin accretive.
Source: Company, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 11, 2017
Key Upcoming Events
Global economic events release calendar
Bloomberg Data
Date
Time
Country
Event Description
Unit
Period
Last Reported
Estimated
Sep 11, 2017
7:00 AMChina
Consumer Price Index (YoY)
% Change
Aug
1.40
1.60
India
Exports YoY%
% Change
Aug
3.94
Sep 12, 2017
2:00 PMUK
Jobless claims change
% Change
Aug
(4.20)
2:00 PMUK
CPI (YoY)
% Change
Aug
2.60
2.80
Sep 13, 2017
5:30 PMIndia
Industrial Production YoY
% Change
Jul
(0.10)
1.70
US
Producer Price Index (mom)
% Change
Aug
(0.20)
Sep 14, 2017
6:00 PMUS
Initial Jobless claims
Thousands
Sep 9
298.00
7:30 AMChina
Industrial Production (YoY)
% Change
Aug
6.40
6.60
12:00 PMIndia
Monthly Wholesale Prices YoY%
% Change
Aug
1.88
3.15
6:00 PMUS
Consumer price index (mom)
% Change
Aug
0.10
0.30
4:30 PMUK
BOE Announces rates
% Ratio
Sep 14
0.25
0.25
Sep 15, 2017
6:45 PMUS
Industrial Production
%
Aug
0.19
0.10
Sep 18, 2017
2:30 PMEuro Zone
Euro-Zone CPI (YoY)
%
Aug F
1.50
Sep 19, 2017
6:00 PMUS
Housing Starts
Thousands
Aug
1,155.00
1,148.00
7:30 PMUS
Existing home sales
Million
Aug
5.44
5.49
Sep 20, 2017
6:00 PMUS
Building permits
Thousands
Aug
1,230.00
1,205.00
11:30 PMUS
FOMC rate decision
%
Sep 20
1.25
1.25
Sep 21, 2017
7:30 PMEuro Zone
Euro-Zone Consumer Confidence
Value
Sep A
(1.50)
Sep 22, 2017
1:00 PMGermany
PMI Services
Value
Sep P
53.50
1:00 PMGermany
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Sep P
59.30
Sep 26, 2017
7:30 PMUS
Consumer Confidence
S.A./ 1985=100
Sep
122.90
7:30 PMUS
New home sales
Thousands
Aug
571.00
Sep 28, 2017
6:00 PMUS
GDP Qoq (Annualised)
% Change
2Q T
3.00
Sep 29, 2017
1:25 PMGermany
Unemployment change (000's)
Thousands
Sep
(5.00)
6:30 AMChina
PMI Manufacturing
Value
Sep
51.70
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 11, 2017
Macro watch
Exhibit 1: Quarterly GDP trends
Exhibit 2: IIP trends
(%)
(%)
5.7
5.7
10.0
6.0
9.1
8.8
4.9
4.9
9.0
5.0
8.0
7.9
7.6
7.5
3.8
8.0
7.3
7.2
4.0
7.0
3.0
2.6
2.8
2.8
7.0
6.1
6.1
3.0
5.7
1.9
6.0
2.0
5.0
1.0
4.0
-
3.0
(0.1)
(1.0)
Source: CSO, Angel Research
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 3: Monthly CPI inflation trends
Exhibit 4: Manufacturing and services PMI
56.0
Mfg. PMI
Services PMI
(%)
6.0
54.0
5.1
52.0
5.0
4.3
4.2
3.9
50.0
3.6
3.7
4.0
3.4
3.2
3.0
48.0
3.0
2.4
2.2
46.0
2.0
1.5
44.0
1.0
42.0
40.0
-
Source: Market, Angel Research; Note: Level above 50 indicates expansion
Source: MOSPI, Angel Research
Exhibit 5: Exports and imports growth trends
Exhibit 6: Key policy rates
(%)
Exports yoy growth
Imports yoy growth
(%)
Repo rate
Reverse Repo rate
CRR
60.0
6.50
50.0
6.00
40.0
5.50
30.0
5.00
20.0
4.50
10.0
4.00
0.0
(10.0)
3.50
(20.0)
3.00
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Source: RBI, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 11, 2017
Global watch
Exhibit 1: Latest quarterly GDP Growth (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
8.0
6.9
7.0
5.8
6.0
5.3
5.0
5.0
1.1
3.7
4.0
2.5
3.0
2.2
1.7
1.7
2.0
1.4
0.8
1.0
0.3
-
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
Exhibit 2: 2017 GDP Growth projection by IMF (%, yoy) across select developing and developed countries
(%)
7.2
6.6
7.0
6.0
5.1
5.0
4.5
4.0
3.0
3.0
2.3
2.0
1.4
1.6
2.0
1.4
1.2
0.2
0.8
1.0
-
Source: IMF, Angel Research
Exhibit 3: One year forward P-E ratio across select developing and developed countries
(x)
25.0
20.0
15.0
10.0
5.0
-
Source: IMF, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 11, 2017
Exhibit 4: Relative performance of indices across globe
Returns (%)
Country
Name of index
Closing price
1M
3M
1YR
Brazil
Bovespa
73,079
7.6
16.4
22.7
Russia
Micex
2,033
2.9
7.9
0.6
India
Nifty
9,935
(1.2)
2.8
12.8
China
Shanghai Composite
3,365
3.6
7.2
10.0
South Africa
Top 40
49,274
(0.6)
7.7
5.3
Mexico
Mexbol
50,084
(2.3)
1.9
7.8
Indonesia
LQ45
976
1.0
2.0
3.8
Malaysia
KLCI
1,780
0.3
0.2
5.8
Thailand
SET 50
1,046
4.4
5.9
8.5
USA
Dow Jones
21,798
(1.3)
2.9
20.5
UK
FTSE
7,378
(2.2)
(2.0)
10.1
Japan
Nikkei
19,275
(3.6)
(3.2)
13.9
Germany
DAX
12,304
1.2
(3.0)
18.6
France
CAC
5,113
(0.6)
(2.4)
18.0
Source: Bloomberg, Angel Research
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 11, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Agri / Agri Chemical
Rallis
Reduce
222
209
4,307
1,873
2,099
15.0
15.0
9.5
10.5
23.3
21.1
3.5
3.2
15.8
16.0
2.2
2.0
United Phosphorus
Neutral
813
-
41,311
18,922
21,949
18.0
18.5
36.2
45.6
22.5
17.8
4.7
3.9
22.7
23.8
2.3
2.0
Auto & Auto Ancillary
Ashok Leyland
Accumulate
115
127
33,670
23,339
27,240
10.1
10.8
4.7
6.2
24.8
18.5
4.9
4.4
20.0
23.6
1.4
1.2
Bajaj Auto
Accumulate
2,914
3,151
84,317
23,936
27,955
19.5
20.1
142.7
167.3
20.4
17.4
4.4
4.0
21.8
22.8
3.1
2.6
Bharat Forge
Neutral
1,162
-
27,041
7,637
8,755
21.7
23.2
36.1
47.3
32.2
24.6
5.8
4.9
18.5
20.8
3.4
2.9
Eicher Motors
Neutral
32,629
-
88,824
19,043
22,837
19.5
19.9
835.4
1,019.0
39.1
32.0
14.6
11.2
40.9
37.8
4.5
3.7
Gabriel India
Neutral
206
-
2,959
1,782
2,033
9.7
10.2
7.1
8.9
29.0
23.3
5.9
5.0
21.0
22.2
1.6
1.4
Hero Motocorp
Neutral
3,959
-
79,060
32,239
36,878
16.0
15.6
184.4
206.5
21.5
19.2
6.7
5.9
31.3
30.7
2.2
1.9
Jamna Auto Industries Neutral
252
-
2,011
1,441
1,662
14.4
14.8
13.9
17.6
18.2
14.3
5.0
4.0
30.0
31.0
1.4
1.2
Mahindra and Mahindra Neutral
1,295
-
80,413
46,971
53,816
13.6
14.0
67.7
79.8
19.1
16.2
2.7
2.4
15.0
15.9
1.6
1.3
Maruti
Accumulate
7,973
8,544
240,842
81,825
101,245
15.0
15.0
283.5
356.0
28.1
22.4
6.1
5.0
21.9
22.4
2.6
2.0
Minda Industries
Neutral
873
-
7,540
4,328
5,084
11.0
11.9
27.3
36.4
32.0
24.0
6.8
5.3
23.1
25.6
1.8
1.5
Motherson Sumi
Neutral
328
-
69,113
55,937
64,445
10.8
11.4
16.9
21.1
19.4
15.6
4.3
4.4
25.2
25.4
1.3
1.1
Tata Motors
Neutral
375
-
108,290
303,167
343,649
11.8
13.8
33.1
54.7
11.3
6.9
1.9
1.5
16.9
23.0
0.4
0.3
TVS Motor
Neutral
635
-
30,187
13,992
16,216
9.0
9.4
17.1
20.3
37.3
31.3
9.9
7.7
29.7
27.7
2.1
1.8
Amara Raja Batteries
Accumulate
796
858
13,590
6,140
7,122
14.3
15.6
29.3
39.0
27.2
20.4
4.6
3.9
17.1
19.0
2.2
1.9
Exide Industries
Neutral
220
-
18,658
8,689
9,854
15.1
15.2
9.7
11.0
22.8
20.0
4.0
3.6
15.7
16.1
1.9
1.6
Apollo Tyres
Neutral
252
-
12,845
15,739
17,326
13.3
14.6
20.4
26.7
12.4
9.5
1.5
1.3
20.4
26.7
1.0
0.9
Ceat
Neutral
1,724
-
6,975
6,661
7,717
11.1
14.2
116.2
178.2
14.8
9.7
2.6
2.1
15.2
21.3
1.2
1.0
JK Tyres
Neutral
145
-
3,290
8,318
9,239
16.2
16.4
21.0
27.5
6.9
5.3
1.3
1.1
19.1
20.4
0.8
0.7
Swaraj Engines
Neutral
2,030
-
2,522
788
889
16.4
16.5
71.6
81.0
28.4
25.1
8.2
7.6
29.6
31.0
2.9
2.5
Subros
Neutral
247
-
1,484
1,855
2,135
11.6
11.8
10.3
14.7
24.1
16.9
3.7
3.1
15.8
19.1
1.0
0.9
Capital Goods
BEML
Neutral
1,856
-
7,728
4,286
5,194
7.1
8.2
42.9
58.1
43.3
31.9
3.6
3.2
7.6
8.7
1.9
1.5
Bharat Electronics
Neutral
188
-
42,026
10,258
12,470
19.6
19.5
7.3
8.6
25.8
21.9
0.5
0.4
20.4
21.9
3.6
2.9
Voltas
Neutral
536
-
17,722
6,778
8,004
9.6
11.0
17.1
22.4
31.3
23.9
7.5
6.6
17.7
19.8
2.3
1.9
BHEL
Neutral
128
-
31,280
33,200
39,167
6.8
9.5
6.2
11.2
20.6
11.4
1.0
0.9
4.6
8.0
0.5
0.4
Blue Star
Neutral
792
-
7,588
5,101
5,997
6.0
7.0
17.9
26.6
44.3
29.8
9.4
8.6
21.9
29.0
1.5
1.3
CG Power and Industrial
Neutral
87
-
5,459
6,555
7,292
7.5
7.5
-
0.8
8,710.0
108.9
1.4
1.4
0.1
1.2
0.9
0.8
Solutions
Greaves Cotton
Neutral
147
-
3,586
1,778
1,993
14.7
15.1
8.1
9.1
18.1
16.1
4.1
3.8
21.8
23.6
1.8
1.6
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 11, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Capital Goods
KEC International
Neutral
313
-
8,051
9,779
11,113
9.4
9.8
14.2
18.2
22.1
17.2
4.2
3.5
21.1
22.1
1.1
1.0
KEI Industries
Accumulate
275
290
2,143
3,001
3,391
10.0
10.0
13.0
16.1
21.2
17.1
3.9
3.2
18.2
18.7
0.9
0.8
Thermax
Neutral
879
-
10,474
4,125
4,747
10.3
10.8
26.7
31.5
32.9
27.9
3.7
3.4
11.2
12.0
2.3
2.0
VATech Wabag
Accumulate
619
681
3,377
3,867
4,126
9.6
10.0
34.9
39.8
17.7
15.5
2.9
2.5
17.7
17.5
0.9
0.8
Cement
ACC
Neutral
1,793
-
33,666
12,255
13,350
13.5
14.3
58.0
66.2
30.9
27.1
3.7
3.4
11.5
12.2
2.7
2.5
Ambuja Cements
Neutral
282
-
55,906
10,250
11,450
17.5
19.0
7.2
8.3
39.1
33.9
2.8
2.6
7.0
7.8
5.2
4.6
India Cements
Neutral
183
-
5,647
6,135
6,750
14.8
15.2
8.5
11.5
21.6
15.9
1.1
1.0
4.8
6.2
1.3
1.1
JK Cement
Neutral
1,023
-
7,154
4,150
4,775
19.2
20.0
49.0
63.5
20.9
16.1
3.3
2.8
17.0
18.5
2.2
1.8
J K Lakshmi Cement
Neutral
423
-
4,980
3,422
3,757
15.5
17.0
13.5
23.2
31.4
18.2
3.3
2.8
10.8
15.5
1.9
1.6
Orient Cement
Neutral
159
-
3,257
2,215
3,233
16.8
17.0
5.9
6.9
27.0
23.0
2.1
1.9
10.8
10.1
2.5
1.6
UltraTech Cement
Neutral
4,127
-
113,290
28,250
35,150
20.2
23.5
77.5
122.2
53.3
33.8
4.5
4.1
9.6
14.8
4.5
3.6
Construction
KNR Constructions
Neutral
203
-
2,852
1,846
2,203
14.5
14.5
12.1
13.7
16.8
14.9
0.9
0.8
17.5
16.7
1.6
1.3
Larsen & Toubro
Neutral
1,172
-
164,186
95,787
109,476
10.2
11.6
44.5
50.8
26.4
23.1
3.3
3.0
12.9
13.1
2.3
2.0
Gujarat Pipavav Port
Neutral
134
-
6,468
739
842
61.6
62.7
5.1
6.2
26.2
21.8
3.3
3.2
12.7
14.9
8.2
7.1
PNC Infratech
Accumulate
134
143
3,438
2,040
2,935
13.0
13.0
6.4
9.0
20.9
14.9
0.5
0.5
9.7
12.2
1.7
1.2
Simplex Infra
Neutral
450
-
2,226
6,012
6,619
11.6
11.7
21.1
31.0
21.4
14.5
1.5
1.4
6.5
8.6
0.9
0.8
Sadbhav Engineering
Neutral
284
-
4,876
3,823
4,426
10.7
10.8
10.3
11.8
27.6
24.1
3.3
2.9
10.1
10.5
1.6
1.4
NBCC
Neutral
209
-
18,792
9,099
12,706
6.4
6.4
7.3
9.6
28.7
21.8
1.3
1.0
27.5
30.5
1.9
1.4
MEP Infra
Neutral
100
-
1,622
2,403
2,910
18.3
16.8
2.4
6.1
42.4
16.4
16.1
10.9
35.2
55.8
1.8
1.5
SIPL
Neutral
100
-
3,520
2,060
2,390
46.8
47.7
(5.8)
(3.1)
3.7
4.3
(14.2)
(2.3)
6.5
6.1
Engineers India
Neutral
160
-
10,775
1,795
2,611
21.1
22.4
5.9
8.1
27.1
19.7
1.9
1.9
12.9
16.1
4.4
2.8
Financials
Axis Bank
Buy
493
580
118,261
32,558
35,843
3.5
3.2
27.8
41.0
17.7
12.0
1.9
1.7
11.4
14.9
-
-
Bank of Baroda
Neutral
137
-
31,521
22,533
26,079
2.4
2.4
12.0
20.9
11.4
6.6
0.7
0.7
6.6
11.0
-
-
Canara Bank
Neutral
332
-
19,815
17,925
20,235
2.0
2.1
18.5
36.5
17.9
9.1
0.7
0.6
3.4
6.2
-
-
Can Fin Homes
Neutral
2,861
-
7,617
586
741
3.5
3.5
107.8
141.0
26.5
20.3
5.8
4.7
24.1
25.6
-
-
Cholamandalam Inv. &
Accumulate
1,161
1,230
18,143
2,826
3,307
6.3
6.3
53.7
64.6
21.6
18.0
3.7
3.1
18.3
18.9
-
-
Fin. Co.
Dewan Housing Finance Accumulate
544
610
17,067
2,676
3,383
2.4
2.7
37.4
49.7
14.6
11.0
1.9
1.7
13.8
16.2
-
-
Equitas Holdings
Buy
172
235
5,836
1,125
1,380
9.6
9.8
1.5
6.0
114.8
28.7
2.6
2.4
2.4
8.2
-
-
Federal Bank
Accumulate
111
125
21,646
4,896
5,930
2.8
3.1
5.4
7.6
20.7
14.7
1.8
1.6
8.5
11.0
-
-
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 11, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Financials
HDFC Bank
Neutral
1,788
-
461,553
55,236
63,253
4.5
4.4
68.9
82.4
26.0
21.7
4.5
3.8
18.7
18.5
-
-
ICICI Bank
Accumulate
292
315
187,326
42,361
51,378
3.6
3.9
18.4
25.7
15.9
11.4
1.7
1.7
11.3
15.0
-
-
Karur Vysya Bank
Accumulate
150
160
9,034
3,289
3,630
3.7
3.9
10.8
14.1
13.8
10.6
1.7
1.5
12.5
14.7
-
-
LIC Housing Finance
Neutral
659
-
33,267
4,895
6,332
3.4
3.7
50.7
66.8
13.0
9.9
2.6
2.1
21.7
23.8
-
-
Punjab Natl.Bank
Neutral
138
-
29,355
23,708
25,758
2.1
2.1
5.9
16.4
23.5
8.4
0.7
0.7
3.0
8.3
-
-
RBL Bank
Neutral
537
-
20,369
2,309
2,888
2.6
2.5
16.4
19.1
32.8
28.2
4.1
3.7
13.3
13.8
-
-
Repco Home Finance
Buy
666
825
4,167
496
597
4.4
4.2
38.5
48.7
17.3
13.7
3.1
2.6
19.6
20.6
-
-
South Ind.Bank
Neutral
29
-
5,179
3,195
3,567
3.0
3.1
3.0
3.8
9.5
7.5
1.0
0.8
10.5
11.9
-
-
St Bk of India
Neutral
272
-
234,749
105,827
121,056
2.4
2.5
16.1
25.6
16.9
10.6
1.3
1.2
6.6
9.9
-
-
Union Bank
Neutral
131
-
9,531
14,650
16,225
2.3
2.3
23.1
32.5
5.7
4.0
0.4
0.4
7.1
9.2
-
-
Yes Bank
Neutral
1,789
-
81,878
11,088
13,138
3.0
2.9
84.0
99.3
21.3
18.0
3.3
2.8
16.3
16.8
-
-
FMCG
Akzo Nobel India
Neutral
1,823
-
8,745
3,164
3,607
13.8
13.7
58.6
67.9
31.1
26.8
7.6
6.7
24.5
25.1
2.6
2.3
Asian Paints
Neutral
1,203
-
115,358
17,603
20,615
18.6
18.6
2,128.9
2,543.3
0.6
0.5
11.9
10.0
28.0
28.9
6.4
5.4
Britannia
Neutral
4,291
-
51,517
9,690
11,278
14.8
15.4
84.0
101.0
51.1
42.5
18.6
14.8
40.6
39.0
5.3
4.5
Colgate
Neutral
1,157
-
31,458
4,420
5,074
24.9
25.3
28.6
32.8
40.4
35.3
16.0
12.9
43.8
40.5
6.9
5.9
Dabur India
Neutral
307
-
54,105
8,346
9,344
19.6
19.9
7.8
9.0
39.4
34.1
7.9
7.2
25.2
24.8
6.1
5.3
GlaxoSmith Con*
Neutral
5,175
-
21,764
5,072
5,760
18.2
18.4
176.3
199.2
29.4
26.0
6.2
5.6
21.2
21.7
3.6
3.1
Godrej Consumer
Neutral
923
-
62,873
10,171
11,682
20.8
21.5
21.7
27.1
42.5
34.1
9.6
8.2
22.3
23.4
6.3
5.4
HUL
Neutral
1,207
-
261,198
37,077
41,508
20.3
21.8
5,189.9
6,318.5
0.2
0.2
36.8
31.4
74.8
82.0
6.9
6.2
ITC
Neutral
272
-
331,853
44,588
49,853
37.0
37.3
9.6
11.0
28.4
24.8
7.0
6.6
25.1
27.3
6.9
6.2
Marico
Neutral
325
-
41,998
6,788
7,766
18.5
19.2
7.1
8.5
45.8
38.3
16.0
13.7
36.9
38.0
6.0
5.3
Nestle*
Neutral
7,195
-
69,369
10,083
11,182
20.0
20.9
119.7
141.3
60.1
50.9
211.8
193.6
36.7
39.8
6.6
5.9
Tata Global
Neutral
207
-
13,045
7,121
7,641
11.9
12.3
6.9
8.0
30.0
25.8
2.0
1.9
6.8
7.2
1.6
1.5
Procter & Gamble
Neutral
8,350
-
27,105
3,034
3,579
27.1
27.7
167.7
198.8
49.8
42.0
13.4
11.5
28.8
29.5
8.4
7.0
Hygiene
IT
HCL Tech^
Buy
860
1,014
122,778
52,342
57,053
20.9
20.9
62.8
67.6
13.7
12.7
3.1
2.6
22.4
20.6
2.0
1.7
Infosys
Buy
884
1,179
203,144
73,963
80,619
26.0
26.0
64.4
69.3
13.7
12.8
2.7
2.5
19.7
19.6
2.2
1.9
TCS
Accumulate
2,470
2,651
486,725
127,403
138,870
27.6
27.6
144.5
156.0
17.1
15.8
5.1
4.7
29.7
29.8
3.5
3.1
Tech Mahindra
Buy
430
533
41,954
31,015
33,496
15.0
15.0
35.6
38.1
12.1
11.3
2.1
1.9
17.0
16.3
1.1
1.0
Wipro
Neutral
300
-
146,195
58,536
61,858
20.3
20.3
18.2
19.1
16.5
15.7
2.6
2.2
14.6
13.4
2.4
2.3
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 11, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Media
D B Corp
Neutral
374
-
6,876
2,404
2,625
30.5
31.5
23.7
26.9
15.8
13.9
3.7
3.2
23.5
22.8
2.7
2.5
HT Media
Neutral
102
-
2,381
2,589
2,830
15.1
15.4
8.3
10.9
12.3
9.4
1.0
0.9
8.4
10.4
0.5
0.3
Jagran Prakashan
Buy
177
225
5,783
2,541
2,835
28.5
28.7
12.7
14.1
13.9
12.6
2.9
2.5
21.3
21.4
2.1
1.8
Sun TV Network
Neutral
807
-
31,799
3,238
3,789
51.9
55.1
30.9
38.0
26.1
21.2
7.5
6.5
30.0
31.0
9.3
7.9
Hindustan Media
Neutral
265
-
1,945
1,002
1,074
23.3
23.5
29.2
33.8
9.1
7.8
1.4
1.2
15.6
15.4
0.9
0.7
Ventures
TV Today Network
Buy
270
344
1,613
667
727
27.7
27.7
18.6
20.1
14.5
13.5
2.3
2.3
15.6
17.3
1.9
1.8
Music Broadcast Limited Accumulate
378
434
2,156
271
317
91.0
109.0
6.0
10.0
63.0
37.8
3.9
3.6
6.5
9.3
7.5
6.2
Metals & Mining
Coal India
Neutral
254
-
157,948
82,301
91,235
17.0
18.0
17.1
20.5
14.9
12.4
2.8
2.6
45.0
55.0
1.6
1.4
Hind. Zinc
Neutral
304
-
128,619
22,108
24,555
57.0
58.0
22.1
26.3
13.8
11.6
4.5
3.6
32.0
35.0
4.8
4.0
Hindalco
Neutral
249
-
55,922
102,350
105,355
13.5
14.5
21.5
24.5
11.6
10.2
1.6
1.4
15.0
15.2
1.1
1.1
JSW Steel
Neutral
263
-
63,500
64,500
68,245
21.1
21.5
20.1
21.2
13.1
12.4
2.4
2.1
-
-
1.7
1.6
NMDC
Neutral
135
-
42,554
10,209
11,450
47.0
48.0
11.1
12.1
12.1
11.1
1.7
1.6
-
-
3.7
3.3
SAIL
Neutral
63
-
26,040
54,100
63,555
3.0
10.0
(10.0)
1.5
42.0
0.8
0.8
-
-
1.5
1.3
Vedanta
Neutral
330
-
122,705
81,206
87,345
28.0
29.0
26.5
33.5
12.5
9.9
2.8
2.4
-
-
2.3
1.9
Tata Steel
Neutral
656
-
63,663
121,445
126,500
16.2
17.2
65.4
81.3
10.0
8.1
1.6
1.4
-
-
1.0
0.9
Oil & Gas
GAIL
Neutral
379
-
64,160
53,115
52,344
14.2
15.3
30.0
31.1
12.7
12.2
1.6
1.5
-
-
0.9
0.9
ONGC
Neutral
162
-
207,770
83,111
84,934
44.2
44.9
16.4
16.9
9.9
9.6
1.2
1.1
-
-
2.4
2.4
Indian Oil Corp
Neutral
429
-
208,391
396,116
432,560
8.5
8.8
40.1
42.2
10.7
10.2
1.9
1.7
-
-
0.7
0.6
Reliance Industries
Neutral
817
-
531,458
257,711
267,438
17.0
18.2
89.1
89.5
9.2
9.1
0.9
0.8
-
-
1.7
1.6
Pharmaceuticals
Alembic Pharma
Buy
499
600
9,409
3,903
4,584
18.2
19.2
21.8
27.2
22.9
18.4
4.2
3.5
19.8
20.6
2.4
2.1
Alkem Laboratories Ltd
Buy
1,787
2,161
21,370
6,901
7,850
18.4
19.1
85.0
100.5
21.0
17.8
4.3
3.6
20.2
20.1
3.1
2.7
Aurobindo Pharma
Accumulate
738
823
43,229
17,086
19,478
22.1
22.0
44.7
51.4
16.5
14.4
3.7
3.0
24.7
22.7
2.6
2.3
Aventis*
Neutral
3,953
-
9,105
2,508
2,862
16.8
16.8
139.9
153.8
28.3
25.7
4.1
3.3
23.5
25.8
3.2
2.7
Cadila Healthcare
Sell
502
426
51,397
11,584
13,228
20.3
20.4
18.7
21.3
26.9
23.6
6.0
4.9
24.6
22.9
4.3
3.7
Cipla
Sell
551
458
44,310
16,619
19,437
15.4
16.2
19.7
24.3
28.0
22.7
3.2
2.8
12.0
13.2
2.8
2.4
Dr Reddy's
Neutral
2,159
-
35,791
15,844
17,973
17.6
18.2
91.7
111.0
23.5
19.5
2.7
2.4
11.9
13.0
2.5
2.2
GSK Pharma*
Neutral
2,458
-
20,816
3,260
3,651
15.0
18.0
46.1
58.6
53.3
41.9
10.9
11.3
20.0
26.5
6.3
5.7
Indoco Remedies
Sell
194
153
1,784
1,154
1,310
14.9
14.9
11.3
12.7
17.1
15.2
2.4
2.2
15.0
15.0
1.7
1.4
Ipca labs
Buy
421
540
5,309
3,593
4,022
14.5
15.5
19.4
25.2
21.7
16.7
2.0
1.8
9.5
11.2
1.5
1.4
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 11, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target
Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
FY18E
FY19E
Pharmaceuticals
Lupin
Buy
968
1,467
43,741
18,657
21,289
21.3
23.3
52.8
66.7
18.3
14.5
2.8
2.4
16.3
17.5
2.4
2.0
Natco Pharma
Accumulate
721
796
12,568
1,836
1,946
31.8
28.9
22.1
20.6
32.6
35.0
6.6
5.8
20.1
16.7
6.7
6.3
Sun Pharma
Buy
471
558
113,017
32,899
36,451
26.9
25.4
31.6
32.3
14.9
14.6
2.6
2.3
18.7
18.8
3.1
2.6
Syngene International
Buy
483
557
9,658
1,402
1,823
32.8
36.0
15.9
20.7
30.4
23.4
5.7
4.7
18.7
20.0
6.9
5.3
Power
Tata Power
Neutral
77
-
20,827
32,547
33,806
20.5
20.5
4.7
5.4
16.4
14.4
1.6
1.4
10.5
10.5
1.6
1.6
NTPC
Neutral
168
-
138,194
86,070
101,246
28.3
30.7
12.9
16.2
13.0
10.4
1.3
1.2
10.6
12.4
3.0
2.7
Power Grid
Neutral
213
-
111,511
29,183
32,946
89.7
90.0
18.0
20.8
11.9
10.3
2.0
1.8
17.7
18.2
7.8
7.2
Real Estate
Prestige Estate
Neutral
259
-
9,705
4,607
5,146
21.0
22.2
7.9
9.8
32.8
26.4
2.0
1.9
10.3
12.0
3.3
3.0
MLIFE
Buy
445
522
2,281
487
590
12.3
17.8
21.0
31.2
21.2
14.3
1.1
1.1
5.2
7.4
3.4
2.8
Telecom
Bharti Airtel
Neutral
403
-
161,175
97,903
105,233
36.0
36.3
9.3
11.1
43.4
36.5
2.1
2.0
5.0
5.6
2.6
2.3
Idea Cellular
Neutral
80
-
28,765
35,012
37,689
27.1
27.7
(4.4)
(2.7)
1.2
1.3
(6.8)
(4.6)
2.1
1.9
zOthers
Abbott India
Neutral
4,198
-
8,921
3,244
3,723
14.9
16.1
167.5
209.4
25.1
20.1
5.5
4.6
23.7
24.8
2.4
2.0
Asian Granito
Accumulate
452
490
1,360
1,169
1,286
12.5
12.5
16.0
19.7
28.3
22.9
3.0
2.7
10.7
11.6
1.4
1.2
Bajaj Electricals
Accumulate
345
395
3,507
4,646
5,301
6.7
7.6
16.1
22.3
21.5
15.5
3.5
3.0
16.4
19.2
0.7
0.7
Banco Products (India)
Neutral
219
-
1,563
1,530
1,695
13.2
12.7
19.0
20.0
11.5
10.9
1.8
1.6
0.2
0.2
0.9
103.5
Coffee Day Enterprises
Neutral
242
-
4,977
3,494
3,913
17.4
18.0
4.8
5.7
-
42.4
2.1
2.0
-
0.1
1.9
1.7
Ltd
Elecon Engineering
Neutral
50
-
565
171
201
15.0
16.2
36.0
43.0
1.4
1.2
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
2.7
2.3
Garware Wall Ropes
Neutral
913
-
1,998
928
1,003
15.2
15.2
39.4
43.2
23.2
21.2
3.8
3.3
16.5
15.4
2.0
1.8
Goodyear India*
Neutral
826
-
1,904
1,717
1,866
11.8
12.3
47.9
49.8
17.2
16.6
2.7
2.3
15.6
15.7
0.8
115.2
Hitachi
Neutral
1,925
-
5,234
2,355
2,715
10.3
10.8
49.0
60.9
39.3
31.6
9.2
7.3
0.2
0.2
2.3
1.9
HSIL
Neutral
380
-
2,744
2,240
2,670
14.6
15.0
17.0
22.0
22.3
17.3
1.8
1.7
0.1
0.1
1.4
1.2
Interglobe Aviation
Neutral
1,222
-
44,198
22,570
27,955
14.2
15.0
63.6
81.8
19.2
15.0
10.1
8.5
0.5
0.6
1.6
1.2
Jyothy Laboratories
Neutral
396
-
7,200
1,781
2,044
14.1
15.0
9.4
10.5
42.4
37.7
9.0
8.5
0.2
0.2
4.3
3.6
Linc Pen & Plastics
Neutral
239
-
353
420
462
9.3
9.3
15.3
17.1
15.6
14.0
2.6
2.7
16.9
19.5
0.9
0.8
M M Forgings
Neutral
619
-
747
542
642
20.1
21.0
41.6
56.8
14.9
10.9
2.1
1.7
0.1
0.2
1.8
1.6
Mirza International
Neutral
166
-
1,991
1,148
1,285
18.0
18.0
8.0
9.4
20.6
17.7
3.4
2.9
16.3
16.1
1.9
1.7
Navkar Corporation
Buy
198
265
2,823
561
617
41.5
41.5
11.5
12.7
17.2
15.6
1.8
1.6
10.5
10.4
5.7
5.0
Nilkamal
Neutral
1,588
-
2,370
2,317
2,525
11.4
11.1
96.0
105.0
16.5
15.1
2.8
2.5
0.2
0.2
1.0
0.9
Parag Milk Foods
Neutral
246
-
2,071
1,987
2,379
7.6
9.0
12.4
18.3
19.9
13.5
2.8
2.5
8.2
13.2
1.2
1.0
www.angelbroking.com
Stock Watch
September 11, 2017
Company Name
Reco
CMP
Target Mkt Cap
Sales ( Čcr )
OPM(%)
EPS (Č)
PER(x)
P/BV(x)
RoE(%)
EV/Sales(x)
(Č)
Price ( Č)
( Č cr )
FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E FY18E FY19E
zOthers
Radico Khaitan
Neutral
176
-
2,343
1,811
1,992
13.2
13.2
8.1
8.8
21.7
20.0
2.2
2.4
10.1
12.0
1.6
1.5
Relaxo Footwears
Neutral
508
-
6,100
1,981
2,310
13.7
14.5
12.0
15.5
42.3
32.8
8.2
6.7
0.2
0.2
3.1
2.7
Siyaram Silk Mills
Accumulate
2,209
2,500
2,071
1,769
1,981
12.7
12.7
113.1
131.1
19.5
16.9
3.0
2.6
15.5
15.5
1.4
1.2
Styrolution ABS India* Neutral
912
-
1,604
1,800
1,980
8.0
8.1
42.0
46.2
21.7
19.7
2.4
2.2
0.1
0.1
1.0
0.9
Surya Roshni
Neutral
301
-
1,321
4,870
5,320
7.7
7.8
22.8
28.1
13.3
10.7
1.8
1.5
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.4
TVS Srichakra
Neutral
3,229
-
2,472
2,729
2,893
12.7
12.5
248.5
265.0
13.0
12.2
3.7
3.0
0.3
0.3
0.9
0.9
Visaka Industries
Neutral
656
-
1,041
1,104
1,214
12.1
12.6
31.0
37.9
21.2
17.3
2.6
2.3
0.1
0.1
1.2
1.0
VIP Industries
Accumulate
227
250
3,202
1,450
1,693
10.4
10.5
6.5
7.8
34.6
29.0
7.3
6.4
21.1
22.1
2.2
1.9
Navin Fluorine
Accumulate
668
730
3,293
945
1,154
22.4
22.6
28.7
34.8
23.3
19.2
3.9
3.3
-
-
3.0
2.3
Source: Company, Angel Research; Note: *December year end; #September year end; &October year end; Price as on September 08, 2017
www.angelbroking.com
Market Outlook
September 11, 2017
Research Team Tel: 022 - 39357800
E-mail: [email protected]
Website: www.angelbroking.com
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